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rocketpig said:
Fastrabbit09 said:
rocketpig said:
Wasn't his original prediction 24 million that was later pared down to a minimum of 20 million? Somebody correct me on this if I'm wrong. The original prediction was quite some time ago.

And using the excuse of shipped consoles over sold to make the prediction work is pretty damned weak. No one uses shipped numbers on this site.

In any case, it's impressive that he predicted this so long ago but when everything settles down, his prediction was still wrong.

his original was 20mil; he later said 20-24, but his original was just plain 20mil

and shipped was 140k over 20mil...nobody knows how much sold was, as those are just estimates...we do know that vgchartz undertracked americas by 300k and do u really wanna argue that there were 300k wiis in stores in Americas?


What does Nintendo consider "shipped to retailer"? It leaving their warehouse or it being delivered?

Having worked in shipping/receiving in the past, I don't see how they would track deliveries like that. It's highly likely that once it leaves their door, they consider it sold. 


 Doesn't matter since they were airshipping to NA, at the time



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)