Seecesaid:
I understand, it's a bad prediction though. |
Ok.. One more time..
If you look at the FY You see a 5 mill drop.. last few year.. and you say 6.5 sold this year.. ok thats fair.. you recon that the drop will not be that 5 mill. this time.. only 3.5 mill drop..
Now we are 2012-2013 and we agre that wii will have hit around 102 mill.... so fare so good..:)
As i said before.. Nintendo are not making any "pr" talk.. they mean when they say.. we will have to consoles on the marked..
Nintendo will stand in that perfect situation.. they will have a monster next gen.. offering new games, better internet, media player, u-mote control, and true HD.. To a price.. let's say (and i don't know.. this is just a shot) about 350$
And.. to a totally diffent type of consumer they have the wii.. remember if you havent played galaxy. donkey kong wii-fit zelda or what ever.. they are still pretty awnsome games.. And again 1.000.000.000 games on the market means alort.. Most of the games are made for single player and just run..
Nintendo run.. better than gamecube.. i think it will live for a long time..:)
But thats just some info.. Back to 2013.. In 2013 the drop will be smaller and indsted of a 3.5 drop.. it will be around 0.5 to1.5 drop meaning at the end of 2013 wii will hit around 108-110 mill.. and i think
FY14 3.5
FY15 3
FY16 2.5
FY17 2
FY18 1.5
Leaving the wii at around 125 Mill.. and that was in you numbers..
I'm a litle bit more optimistic.. becurse i know the right price.. mayby 129$ (99$ would be syko).. And bundles.. mayby one game, netflix and 5 VC games included, will open a new consumer group..
If nintendo choose.. they sell 130+.. easy..