Depends on what the shipment is really. I think some people are really under estimating it. You have to keep in mind that first week sales for a console are not a good indication of future sales. The hardcore fans will swarm to a system first week. As really if you are going to buy a system at launch you may as well buy it first week as opposed to a little later. You get a huge wave of titles, price isn't going to change etc.
The weird launch they are doing where the 15th is a soft launch might mess things up. But I will say whatever Sony ship for the first week that the sales for the first week (or 15th + 22nd with their stupid launch) will likely be sold through or vast majority.
So err yea. Whatever their shipment is then 90% or so of that is my guess.
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