thismeintiel said:
I clearly explained it using MS own shipment numbers from 2010 and 2011, you choose to not except the fact that MS's shipment numbers were inflated by extra units shipped out in Q1 2011. Again, MS usually ships ~1.5 consoles in Q1. The only time they deviated from this was in Q1 2011, when they shipped out 2.7 million units to make up for shortages in 2010. And again, if they had gotten out those units in 2010, then they would have only shipped ~3.5-3.9 million in 2011. It has nothing to do with whether or not MS overshipped (mostly because retailers overestimated demand) or not, which I think there was very little of. VGC knows this, and that is why we are not going to get any large adjustments that put the 360 on top by any significant margin. Even Seece, who had a thread where he predicted that the 360 would outsell the PS3, conceded that the PS3 most likely won, though not by as much as VGC had it. And in fact, VGC did adjust their numbers slightly, as the PS3 was ahead by ~630K and is now ahead by ~535K. |
So your answer is that the PS3 outselling the 360 for 2011 is based, not on any reported sell-through numbers, but shipping numbers. Is it really hard to understand why that isn't convincing? We're still talking nothing but shipments, which is in other ways being used to minimize what has been announced concerning the 360 being the top selling console ww for 2011 (based on SHIPPING numbers). Shipping numbers being used to prove sell-through numbers.
The only factual conclusion that has been revealed is that there ISN'T any official source that clearly states who the sell-through leader was for 2011. That's not an analytical opinion, just a fact.
While I enjoy using VGC's numbers as an educated guess, I'll never be delusional about their inherent inaccuracy. All polling done by samples are, but it's nice to at least have an estimate. The consistent arguments, though, over differences that fall well into the admitted 5-10% error cushion, never cease to amaze me. "Too close to call" just isn't good enough for some.









