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HappySqurriel said:
Rainbird said:

And my speculation relates to the kind of loyalty Nintento gained from the part of the market the Wii expanded into, people who haven't done much in gaming before. They were attracted to the Wii because of the new ways it allowed you to play, but as the Wii U doesn't seem to offer any "revolutionary" gameplay, why should these people upgrade?

And yet the exact same could be said of the Nintendo DS, and the 3DS has become (one of) the fastest selling consoles of all time ...
On top of that the same could be said of the Playstation, and the PS2 became (one of) the fastest selling consoles of all time ...

There are countless reasons why people upgrade to the next generation, and these reasons have been proven time and time again to be as valid for new gamers as they are for established gamers. Why would this generation be different?

The 3DS is still nowhere near the sales of the DS, so whether the DS audience will buck the speculation is unproven. The PS/PS2 example may be correct, though I think the demographics are quite different from the Wii. No hard data, but I can't imagine either the PS or PS2 held the same kind of appeal to their demographic as the Wii has to the part of its demographic we've been discussing.

I'm not saying the Wii hasn't managed to capture an audience that will want to upgrade to the Wii U, or another system for that matter. But I think a part of the Wii demographic isn't going to be particularly enticed to upgrade. Whether that group will have a noticable impact on the Wii U sales is a different matter.