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thismeintiel on 05 January 2012
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pezus said:
BHR-3 said:
thismeintiel said:
Just dropping by to show a little love.

Congrats on your prediction coming true. And congrats to Sony and MS for having their best years, so far.

Still don't agree with your prediction for 2012, but we'll see.


what do you see happening that wont lead to that?

360 is going to have USA even more so as wii sales drop further (yes PS3 sales will also rise in US compared to last year b/c of this but more so for the X-box as US prefers it more at this juncture), there may not be a real price cut for the 360 next year meaning below199 but i believe it will have some type of cut to its current situation that will help it in EU as it looks like thats all it needed to take 2011 from PS3 (little help in EU).  PS3 had a 50 cut this year that didnt lead to sale surges of its last cut in 09 theres no way it will get a $100 cut next year 50 if any at all, as this year showed that didnt have any meaningful effect.  idk the exclusive SW situation next year most big games releasing are multi, the only thing i can think of the will cause some kinda of sales surge is Halo 4.  GTA5 can cause a HW surge to the console that cuts the price at release time with the X-box console being the most likely to cut next year among the two i give the advantage to MS


its also and even numbered year X-box loves even numbered years 06 outsold PS3 gears was released was a hit, 08 price drop for 360 widen gap alot outsold PS3 again, 2010 relaunch brought new sales life to the aging console and kenict doing what they did

'06: Ps3 wasn't out in PAL territories and it launched in November

'10: Still not enough to outsell PS3

Agree with this.  Plus, I still think there may be a few adjustments made that will have a higher gap for the PS3 than just the 300K.  But, we'll see about that in a few weeks.  Here's my reasoning, regardless of adjustments:

1. For next year, I think both the 360 and the PS3 will see a price cut.  I think that's one reason why Sony only dropped by $50, instead of $100.  It gives them more time to not only sell at a higher profit, but also to drop manufactoring costs down so they can sell at a similar profit, even if they drop it by another $50.  So having the PS3 available for $199 for the first time (except 2011's Black Friday) is going to do wonders for the system. 

2. This year showed us that while Kinect is still popular during the holidays, its popularity mostly comes from the US and UK.  Everywhere else, it's pretty much dead.  Also, it will most likely boost the 360 less than it did last year during the 10 months leading up to the holiday season.  And even during the holidays, with it being in its 3rd year on the market, it will probably boost sales less the first 2 holiday seasons.

3. The 360 will drop its 250GB SKU to $199, but I don't see this giving it as big a boost as the PS3's cut.  A $199 360 has been around since '08.  Of course, the difference back then between models was pretty drastic, where as now the SKUs are almost identical except for the larger HDD.  Also, with this cut, I don't see stores giving out ~$100 giftcards for nearly 2 months next holiday season.  It will probably see the same ~$20-$50 giftcards the PS3 and Wii (and Wii U) will see for 3-4 weeks.  Not sure if MS will due another Back To School 360 giveaway, too.