It's a wash.
Anything under 500k is well within an acceptable margin of error for VGC estimates.
But since the whole point of this is to obsess over what the VGC numbers state at the end of the year, rather than their actual accuracy, it looks like the final numbers will show that the PS3 "won" in 2011.
I'm not sure where all this talk about "moral victories" or coulda, woulda, shoulda predictions are coming from had MS dropped price on their Kinect and 250GB SKUs by $50 or packaged each Xbox with a magical gaming leprechaun to spur more sales; the reality is it didn't happen. They offered the same holiday bundles they've been offering for years and along with the excellent Black Friday deals, these were the numbers that actually happened.
Predicting what can happen in the future is one thing, predicting what could have happened in the past however... is a waste of time for VGC forums.
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