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thismeintiel on 14 December 2011
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BHR-3 said:
thismeintiel said:
BHR-3 said:
ethomaz said:

Whit this week numbers... there are a 800k gap in PS3 favor... after that:

Week 17th Dec: tie (PS3 had the FFXIII-2 special edition)
Week 24th Dec: 360 by 150-200k
Week 31st Dec: tie (the PS3 always won by little the last week of the year)

The final gap in 2011 will be: 500-600k (PS3 winner).

 

please ethomaz, stop hyping up a PS3 victory i noticed you also did in other threads aswell, not only will you be incorrect but it will make me and my thread look bad aswell.  in my defense i made it last holiday season and will lose it by a few units which i think is pretty good for a prediction made that long ago, but as a little insurance policy i made sure i got it right for 2012 prior to not being on here as frequent

its not going to happen there will be no "tie" next week and there certainly wont be no 150-200k 360 advantage (lol) the week after that more like 500k+ as i also did mention earlier in this thread that on BF the 360 would also erase the gap by a certain amount along with a number of other things so my words should never be taken with a grain of salt as they say

 

congratualtions to seece his thread and MS's X-box (even though he needed to wait till MS themselves anounced that they would do what he named his thread)

I agree with you that next week won't be a tie.  MS should still have a lead of ~50K-100K.  But 500K+for the week after that?  You're joking, right?  You do realize for the corresponding week last year + the week of Chrstmas, the 360 only managed to outsell the  PS3 a combined ~355K?  Even with this Black Friday being one of the largest this gen (due mostly to early Black Friday deals), the 360 outsold the PS3 by ~366K.  And that was without the recent holiday boosts the PS3 is getting in the rest of the world.  Japan's boosts have only just begun.  Why would the 360 just come out of nowhere and score a 500K+ lead on the PS3 for just one of those remaining weeks?  It won't happen. 

Then of course, the last week the PS3 should have a small lead.  MS may get lucky and be able to cut that lead to a basic tie, but that's all it can hope for.

well i thought that would be obvious when i was congratulating seece

 

it looks like i was i little bit misinformed though i thought that the gap was 800k week ending the 3rd as stated on the 1st page then would be around 650k ending the 10th.  I havnt been on much to follow things in the WW up and NPD threads and if they affected vgc numbers, b/c i ve also noticed people being banned when criticizing vgcs numbers but if vgc is going to adjusted accordingly to NPD then they need to go back to Dec 2010 where if you add up there 360 Dec US numbers you get around 2.2M compared to the 1.8 NPD released either that or im adding wrong.  With PS3s recent adjustments it gives it a better chance, i still think next week wont be a tie at all i doubt the FF bundle will do over 100k in JP im thinking HW will be a little higher than what it was for GT since SW sales shouldnt be much higher than GT

as for the week after that i would be surprised it the gap for that week was less than 450k and as seece said i like to shot for the sky so thats where the 500k+ came from.  I still think there as chance that things can swing to 360 with NPD and even when shipments come Jan so i believe it wont be over till then.  In conclusion if the PS3 does win out 2011 it will only be by a few 100k which wont really be a huge victory if you asked me

I thinking now it will outsell the 360 by ~500K.  While not HUGE, it isn't an insignificant margin.  Of course, that's before any adjustments are made.  But let's face it, historically speaking, adjustments from NPD and shipment numbers usually go in favor of the PS3.  Though, it's not so much a victory for Sony, as it is a defeat for MS.  I only say this because MS are the ones who claimed since June (didn't say it for November NPD, though) they would be #1 WW by the end of 2011.

@ toadslayer72

I can't speak for the whole VGC community, but personally I would say 360 should have to sell a little more than 1% over the PS3 for the year to claim a victory.  While that doesn't seem a lot percentage-wise, that will probably end up being ~140K-150K for the year.