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People make assumptions based on base concept, minor character details, cutscenes and developer history. I don't personally believe that The Last of Us will be a revolution in gaming or the best game of the generation but knowing the developer and their history, I think its safe to say that the game will at the very least be solid.
Then again, brilliant developers may well make unsatisfying or even poor games (Bioware, Bethesda and Square Enix are prime examples here).
Hmm, the moral of the story must be along the lines of the OP, I agree with you, one simply cannot base a game simply on short previews, and that goes doubly for new franchises as opposed to sequels.