In a way Sony might even be relieved to see the 3DS do well, because it means the portable gaming industry isn't suddenly going smartphone only. And the two devices are very different again, so I think the market split should be similar to DS/PSP. Which is something Sony will be happy with. Their first handheld sold +70m units - that's an incredible success!
Really, I don't see any big differences between the DS/PSP gen and the 3DS/Vita gen.
DS/3DS: dated specs, quirky, cheaper, kid-friendly, pure gaming device, unique novelty feature
PSP/Vita: cutting edge, slick, more expensive, adolescent-oriented, strong multimedia features, more conventional
And the libraries are shaping up to be similar as well. I mean, of course they are! Sony has built a reputation for certain games, and that's what their followers expect by now. It's the Playstation flavor: Impressive blockbuster movie-like action games, realistic racing games, violent shooters. Just as the Nintendo flavor is not going to change. Both camps are pretty much trapped in their respective corners: Nintendo fails to get violent 3rd party games and gamers for their systems, and Sony fails to make something of equally universal appeal as Mario.
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