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ethomaz said:
thx1139 said:

Like every year the sales in the Americas accelerate far more week over week the closer we get to Christmas.  360 is dominating even with the better than expected PS3 sales in US in November. Also remember those better than expected sales were driven by the special BF bundle for $199.99.

Week over week in NA the special pricing deals are heavily favoring the 360 and each week they are getting better. Week after BF (Where 360 won by 100K) the best deal was $20 gift card. This past week (results coming this week) the norm was $50 gift card but went as high as $80.  This week the deals go as high as $100 (There is one of these for the 320GB PS3 Move Bundle, but that doesnt seem to be the popular SKU anyway).  I expect that next week finding a 360 with a $100 gift card will be easy. Not so easy for a PS3 and these deals in the US will propel the 360 to the 1 million plus advantage.

Still why will retailers simply say sure Sony give us more even though they will just get stored. Last qtr was a qtr where a price cut happened. Not to mention it was followed by the high selling qtr of the year. Taking extra shipments with those factors in mind is a great deal easier.

Ok. Just puting some real numbers for comparision.

4 weeks to end of year/quarter.

360 needs outsell PS3 by 630,842 to be over 1 million.

630,842 / 4 = ~158k per week.

Are you saying the 360 will outsell PS3 by ~158k per week in the last four weeks of the year???

It won't happen.

And after all there are adjustments in January/Febuary always benefiting the PS3.

PS. PS3 is UP by a good margin in Europe this week due deals and bundles.

Yes I do believe that the 360 will outsell PS3 by at least 158K on average the remainder of the year.  Sales in Americas are up this year and down elsewhere. Particularly for the 360. I believe this is due to extra supply and extra deals (particularly with the 360).  So to track I am adding this little chart.  MS will not be caught short with supply like last year.  Starts with the week after Black Friday.  In Americas last year Christmas week sales doubled week after BF week. While in the rest of the world sales went from 410K to 520K for PS3 and 265K to 338K for the 360.  I see that week alone the 360 outselling the PS3 by close to 400K.

 

Week end Dec 3 2010   2011  
Console PS3 360 PS3 360
Total 619,455 665,244 588,757 679,966
America 210,044 400,101 230,898 483,300
Japan 40,153 3,693 39,918 1,631
Total Others 369,258 261,450 317,941 195,035
         
Week end Dec 10 2010   2011  
Console PS3 360 PS3 360
Total 696,487 771,313    
America 240,038 475,200    
Japan 42,254 3,812    
Total Others 414,195 292,301    
         
Week end Dec 17 2010   2011  
Console PS3 360 PS3 360
Total 897,211 1,060,849    
America 390,583 737,584    
Japan 48,821 3,970    
Total Others 457,807 319,295    
         
Week end Dec 24 2010   2011  
Console PS3 360 PS3 360
Total 931,958 1,114,283    
America 410,749 775,144    
Japan 62,944 5,652    
Total Others 458,265 333,487    
         
Week end Dec 31 2010   2011  
Console PS3 360 PS3 360
Total 554,189 472,788    
America 159,941 228,773    
Japan 73,744 4,474    
Total Others 320,504 239,541    


Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.