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My eyes are on late January Wii and 3DS sales. Then we will know whether the software boost has a long term effect.

Until then it is marketing and hype.

Nintendo have not fixed the core problem of no longer appealing to a mass audience. Compared to Wii Sports and Brain Training, 3D Mario and 3D Zelda are niche audiences that do not create hardware momentum (because people would already have a Wii/3DS if they liked those games.) Until they get a 2D Mario on 3DS it is dead. And unless a 2D Mario plus Wii Sports sequel appear on Wii U with, and this is important, higher production values than their Wii originals, it is dead too.