Xbox 360 Vs. Playstation 3 2012 - *February* Update

[thx1139]

So pulled up Excel and did some calculation starting BF week through Christmas Eve.  

Basic assumptions

• PS3 NA Up YoY 20% each week except Christmas week because of extra day this year I boosted 30%
• 360 NA Flat week after BF week. Then up YoY 20% each week due to shortages last year. Up 30% Christmas week 
• PS3 Europe up 15% BF week WoW (Down YoY because GT5 launched last year)
• PS3 Europe then down 20% YoY following week then proceeds to grow 15% each week through Christmas Eve
• 360 Europe up 7.5% BF week WoW
• 360 Europe then up 15% WoW through Christmas Eve
• PS3 Japan at 40K this week then increase 30% WoW through Christmas Eve
• 360 Japan at 1700 this week then increase 20% WoW through Christmas Eve

With this I get the 360 outselling PS3 by about 1.4M starting BF week through Christmas Eve. That leaves the week b4 New Years to settle the score.  It will be tight. Last year 360 dropped 60% that week as 360 was in very short supply and PS3 dropped giving the PS3 the week by 120K.  I suspect that going into the last couple of weeks MS is going to drop some awesome deals for 360s to claim WW #1.

 

	NA	Europe	Japan
BF
PS3	418,858	165,000	40000	623,858
X360	1,075,200	155,000	1700	1,231,900
				-
3-Dec				-
PS3	211,200	234,075	52000	497,275
X360	385,000	178,250	2040	565,290
				-
10-Dec				-
PS3	241,378	269,186	52000	562,564
X360	455,000	204,988	2448	662,436
				-
17-Dec				-
PS3	392,578	309,564	59800	761,942
X360	819,000	235,736	2496.96	1,057,233
				-
24-Dec				-
PS3	447,392	355,999	77740	881,132
X360	926,800	271,096	2996.352	1,200,892
Total
PS3	1,711,405	1,333,825	281,540	3,326,770
X360	3,661,000	1,045,069	11,681	4,717,750