Syria, the outcome!

[Joelcool7]

Mr Khan said:

mrstickball said:
The Syrian problem needs to be dealt with by the Arab league and their neighbors such as Turkey, Lebanon and Israel. Not NATO. Not the UN.

Did you seriously just say Israel should intervene in Syria?

That would be fun to watch from a theoretical perspective, but damn, if they actually did that. No-one's really in any position geopolitically to take responsibility without mass repercussions. NATO could pull it off with the fewest repercussions, since Lebanon is rather accepting of peacekeeping forces and Israel is aligned with them and Turkey's a member and Iraq and Jordan at least shouldn't have many objections

The Arab League can't pull in because of Israel, and Israel can't go in because it would tear the region apart.

I dunno Jordan and Egypt both have peace deals with Israel. Also throw in the fact that many AL countries are allied with the United States I can understand some hesitation but I think Israel probably would prefer a AL intervention to no intervention. In the end Arab League fighting each other is not likely going to worry Israel as much as Syria collapsing.

Syria's Government was able to control its territory better then say Lebanon or Palestine. Israel will not want Syria to become a terror state an enemy that will actually control themselves is a lot better then a ton of random people launching rockets into your country and attacking at random. Also I suggested that AL troops are on the ground with Nato air support. I don't think Israel would object to that especially considering they very well might have to start an air war against Iran and another possible incursion into Gaza.

I just don't think it would do Israel much good if Syria fully implodes into a 20 year war. Israel would most definatly face attack from armed Syrian militia. Also when Assad finally falls who replaces him? If AL and Nato don't intervene who knows what kind of tyrant could replace him. Democracy is possible but it is also possible that a new dictator will arise or a theorocracy that is anti-Israel or anti-west.

Israel can defeat the Syrian armed forces with their hands tied behind their backs. But if Syria implodes and terrorist groups launch attacks from inside Syria. Israel will be fighting a ghost and be dragged into constant incursions. Of course Israel may never need to seed the golan heights now that Syria is falling apart.

I highly doubt Israel themselves would intervene they would be seen as occupiers and their presence would destabalize the region.

I'd also suggest maybe Turkish troops join the AL boots on the ground. It would be best if the military action was sanctioned by the UN but if not it would probably be the best option. It would also protect Turkish interests and further their influence in the region. The Arab League also wouldn't have to fear Iran all that much as Israel is likely going to knock them out as a threat.

Intervention by the AL, Turkey and Nato might be the best possible out come.