pezus said:
yo_john117 said:
pezus said:
yo_john117 said:
shanbcn said:
Nsanity said:
Again, NPD doesnt track all of Americas nor does it include those bundled with hardware. |
VGZ have it around 6.7m in all of NA till Sep 2011. Lets add 600k to 4.7 and its 5.3 in all of Americas. The recent bundles have been digital copies and i dont think MS bundled almost 1.5m retail copies of Reach in NA. Even in best case its overtracked by 1m which will mean 500k bundles.
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Your doing it slightly wrong. First you need to add in all of the Halo Reach special edition bundles to the NA numbers (of which there were a ton lik ioi said) But before I get started I have to say, like you there is going to be a lot of assumptions (because we really don't know)
So first off we take 4.75 for the US numbers then add in about 500k of the Reach bundles (that's on the low end of things) so that's 5.5 million off totally assumed sales in US now do the vgchartz ratio thing of 13% (which we don't know is actually that accurate) so that's 700k consoles sold elsewhere in the Americas and you get 6.2 million sold in Americas
So worst case for these guesswork numbers would about 500k overtracked.
But really it's all just guesswork and worthless assumptions between the both of us since our numbers depend on how much Halo Reach has sold off of bundles and what the ratio for the US vs the rest of the Americas are, neither of which we know. So could it be 1 million units overtracked? Yes, but it could also be tracked perfectly...we just don't know.
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No, worst case scenario is (4.75 US+500k bundles)/0.88 = ~6m. 700k overtracked. Best case scenario is (4.75+1.2m bundles)/0.88 = ~6.75m. But, really, 500k copies of a special edition console is unheard of, I think. So it's not just the special edition bundles, but normal 360+Reach bundles as well.
Either way, it's either become one of the heavily bundled games or it's heavily overtracked.
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You guys don't seem to really get the actual point of that post. Which is to say right now it's all assumptions as to if Halo Reach is over tracked or not.
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Of course, but they are not baseless assumptions.
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No you are right they aren't baseless assumptions, but they are mostly guesswork.
