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yo_john117 said:

Kinect will still be big this year plus so many huge games is really going to help the 360 out where Kinect fails. Now granted I forgot to enter in the Kinect sales into my thoughts on this but I still believe the 360 will end the year pretty close to last years sales.

 

And my original point still stands.

I'm sure Kinect will do alright, especially in Americas, but nothing like it did last year.  I think the recent launches, and there underperformance compared to their predecessors,  of Dance Central 2 and Kinect Sports 2 shows exactly this.  And last year had large games, as well.  MW3 will probably have the same affect on sales that Black Ops did.  According to Halo Anniversary's pre-order numbers, it's not going to help out the 360 as much as Reach did last year.  Basically, the biggest missing factor is going to be the HUGE boost Kinect gave the 360.