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thismeintiel said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
thismeintiel said:
Oh, and just to take Dedoce's bet out of this, the 360 is going to have to outsell the PS3 by ~84.5K a week from now on just to tie with the PS3. However, I don't see sales really starting to pick up that greatly for the 360, at least to the point where it could outsell the PS3, til November. So if the gap continues to grow by 20K til, say Nov. 8th (release of MW3), then that means the 360 is going to have to outsell the PS3 by ~155K a week just to tie with the PS3. Of course, I see the PS3 outselling the 360 by at least 81K the last week of Dec, like it did last year. So, in the end, the 360 is going to have to pull off selling more than the PS3 by 189K for 7 weeks straight, starting the week ending Nov 12.

This IS impossible. Even with a price cut. I see it MAYBE selling close to that for about 3 weeks: MW3 launch week, Black Friday week, and the week of Christmas. But, it just won't be able to pull that off for 7 weeks straight. Not with the recent price cut for the PS3 (first time its been available for $250), Uncharted 3 WW, and FF 13-2 in Japan.

Just for comparison's sake, last year the 360 was only able to outsell the PS3 by ~180K one week, which was the week of Christmas. And that was mostly because of Kinect. In other words, Kinect is going to have to have an INSANELY larger impact than it did last year, when it was BRAND NEW. Either that, or MS is going to have to drop the 4GB model and sell the 250GB model for $199, while at the same time dropping the Kinect to $50 and have the the Kinect 360 bundle at $249. That's the ONLY way it can pull it off.

how did PS3 do in Nov. 2010 v 360? and i agree.

According to VGC, it looks like the 360 was able to outsell the PS3 by ~418K in Nov 2010.  Or an average of ~105K a week.

True, 360 outsold the PS3 by an average of 105k a week during Nov 2010 and by an average of 77k per week during Dec 2010. Now assuming that starting this week (results next week) the 360 starts outselling the ps3, it has to outsell it by 168k a week to overcome the 1.5M lead that the PS3 has accumulated this year. It is note worth that the 360 launched kinect last year while ps3 launched the move. Obviously Kinect did much much much better than the Move but we have no such thing this year. Unless MS reveals something uber,  the 360 has a touch climb infront of it to overcome the PS3 and emerge as the best selling console tis year.

 

Week Ending Xbox360 PS3 Out Sold (X360)
Nov 6th 2010 360,822 313,465 47,357
Nov 13th 2010 520,893 378,898 141,995
Nov 20th 2010 453,942 345,757 108,185
Nov 27th 2010 885,353 765,116 120,237
Total 417,774
Outsold by (Average/week) 104,444
Dec 4th 2010 665,244 619,455 45,789
Dec 11th 2010 771,313 696,487 74,826
Dec 18th 2010 1,060,849 897,211 163,638
Dec 25th 2010 1,114,283 931,958 182,325
Jan 1st 2011 472,788 554,189 -81,401
Total 385,177
Otusold by (Average/week) 77,035
Total Nov - Dec 2010 802,951
Outsold by (Average week)                   89,217
Current lead over X360 1,512,525
Must outsell by (Average/week)                 168,058