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MonstaMack said:
How much did the PS3 beat the 360 overall last year? (WW)

I think the 360 can do it, if and only if the 360 has huge holiday sales incentives. The Radioshack leak was a good start, but I can't see that moving hundreds of thousands when Radio Shacks don't even carry that many 360s.

According to VGC, the PS3 was able to beat the 360 by ~785K.

The Radio Shack leak may help a little, BUT they are also offering the 160GB PS3 Holiday Bundle (with a $20 gift card) for the same $199.  And like you said, they won't be carrying many consoles units to begin with.