MARCUSDJACKSON said:
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Yea, but MS did support the X-Box 1 until it died due to low demand. They never killed it, and they supported XBL for 4 years on XB1 after the system was discontinued. Ontop of that 360 is the only system to have BC to last gen. There is no signs that MS will just drop the 360 and discontinue it when the next gen comes out. MS will likely follow suite with Sony, they only difference I see possible is I think Sony is more likely to release a game on PS3 after the release of PS4, where MS likely won't outside of a Kinect exclusive.
Like you said "Sony will keep it (the PS3) on the market and third parties will continue to support it." With the extreme overlap of third party games, and the generalization that third party games sell better on 360 then PS3 (only counter examples I can thing of are FIFA, RE5, and some NFS's), it's likely 360 will continue to sell as long as PS3. Neither MS or Sony will discontinue the system if it's still selling. Neither have in the past, and there is no signs that one will discontinue a product before the other.
360 having a peak year after 5 years does mean trends are important. Before the 6th gen, the only system to not peak in 2 years were low volume Sega consoles, and the GBA. DS peaked in 4 years, PS3 and Wii in 3, and overall this is showing that generations are longer now then they were before. Sony stated that they wanted PS3 to be around for 10 years, and it's happening. Trends are crutial to making smart gaming decisions.
That joke prediction you made had 1 critical flaw. It lacks intelectual backing. You can't hopelessly rely on trends, but you should still look at them and try to understand why they happened and what they mean. Yes 360 peaked in 5 years, but it also released earliest. PS3 had a very strong 4th year, despite a 3rd year peak. If Sony released the Slim PS3 in 2010 instead of 2009, I bet you 2010 would have been PS3's peak.
An example of a good trend is, 360 sells more during the holidays. There is intelectual backing here. First of all 360 does typically gain most of it's sales in Q4 (more percentage-wise of it's total then any other console). Second, Kinect is a casual peripheral, and like Wii Fit and Just Dance, it will sell a lot better during the holidays. We can't predict is too easily since this is only the second year of Kinect, but we know it will do well. 3rd is Seeces arguement, most hardware does sell a lot better in it's second year then it's first, and many people consider Kinect almost it's own system.
Seece made some good points, I disagree in the end, but we need some MS support on this site. So many articles on VGC that say "PS3 will dominate the World because" and less people object to those. People just need to accept others opinions.
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