| GuiltySpartan77 said: It will Fail watch im predicting it when PS4 and 720 come out the Wii U will be irrelevant compared to the two. |
First off, I highly doubt it will "Fail" ... It may end up being less popular than the Wii, but even if it sold at roughly half the rate of the Wii it would still end up being a very viable platform.
Beyond that, we know nothing about how the PS4 or XBox 720 compare to the Wii U. Microsoft and Sony could end up releasing a system 12 to 18 months after Nintendo that costs $100 to $200 more than the Wii U with the development cost to take advantage of their additional processing power being so high that few third party publishers take advantage of it and development timelines becoming so long that the few games that do are released very sporatically. Or Microsoft and Sony could be focusing on releasing a console that is designed around Kinect or Playstation Move, and their fumbling of how that was handled as a add-on could undermine the success as a platform.
While I could be wrong, I'm anticipating that for the first 2 or 3 years of the next generation most games will still be designed around the limitations of current generation HD consoles and after that the next 2 to 3 years most games will be designed around the limitations of the weakest next generation console (unless it is a true market failure) simply because of market size and increased development costs. In order to get a generational jump in graphics developers have tended to spend (in the range of) 4 times as much on games as they did in the previous generation because of the increased quantity and quality of artwork required to produce these games. Unless game prices go up by $20, I don't see how many publishers will find it economically viable to produce games wtih "next generation graphics" for next generation consoles until there is 80 or 100 Million potential customers across all platforms for the game
