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Assassin's Creed. BF3 will be more frontloaded, but AC legs will be much better than BF. AC also has the benefit of being bigger in both NA & EU, while BF3 will only be particularly huge in NA. And lastly, AC will reach enormous success on both consoles, while BF3 will be focused on the 360.

The only thing BF3 has going for it is it's association with COD. That's gonna help it in the initial weeks, but once COD releases, gamers will move on & it's hype/legs will die off. Revelations is gonna sell for many years to come. I'll be surprised if BF3 keeps steady legs for six months.