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its very likely to happen, but its going to be very close.

i've already said PS3 would likely be 1.5-2m ahead of 360 ww going into Nov.-Dec. which are known to be the big months that 360(and wii)sell best in, but i think EMEAA's and Japan will cover anything 360 throws at Sony and that will likely be the the reason MS goes through with a price drop.

its a hard one to sell but PS3 will edge out 360 up until the fiscal yr ending March. Sony wil have another winning yr in 2012 but not by much.