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Allfreedom99 on 19 September 2011
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CGI-Quality said:
Allfreedom99 said:

Its at 1.6 times right now, but my intuition says it will be less than 1.6% by end of 2011. One main reason is the X360 exclusive title releases (Gears 3, Forza 4, Halo: Anniversary), plus the custom consoles (Gears console, MW3 console, and possibly one more since the Star Wars console will release next year), and lastly the Kinect holiday boost and Kinect titles. Those 3 main factors will keep PS3 from outselling X360 this holiday season IMO.

If MS includes a price cut then the scenario changes and X360 outsells PS3 by wide margins during the holiday months, but it is fair to say that is speculation since there have been no announcements. I personally think some kind of cut will occur however before the major holidays. Even without a price cut from MS my intuition is telling me the PS3 will not stay at 1.6, but will decrease from that number by end of 2011.

Forza and Halo nwon't really do much, but Gears 3 will next week and Kinect will in the Americas. Not sure if that can top  EMEAA + Japan for PS3, however.

True to an extent. Gears and Kinect will be the main driving force of console sales increases as well as the custom consoles. Thats not to say Forza and Halo Anniversary won't do anything. They will give some console sales boosts upon their release. My intuition is that we will see huge sales increases in Americas and significant sales increases in EMEAA for the holiday months. I expect PS3 sales to have increases in all regions, but all in all I think we will see the 1 to 1.6 ratio of console sales decrease by years end. This means I think WW the x360 major boost in Americas and significant boost in EMEAA will have just slightly more sales numbers than PS3 numbers world wide for holiday season. Indeed it is just my opinion, but I feel that the X360 exclusives, Kinect, and custom consoles will have slightly more of an effect from a marketing standpoint which translates into slightly more sales.

Edit: this scenario is with no X360 price cut. With a price cut and whole different ball game.