rocketpig on 18 January 2008
I think it will pull about 9-10m with extremely choppy sales. I think it will drop like a stone in the next three months with a good spike when GTA IV hits (at which time, I doubt we'll see a price drop). After that, I think we'll see it drop like a stone again until MGS (assuming it releases in late summer and not June or so), where we'll see another spike (again, no price drop). Then, sometime late in the year, we'll see it take off and make up lost ground with a $50 price drop and GT5 (assuming it releases this year) and Sony will have a successful Christmas.
Lots of predictions and assumptions in there... We'll see how right I am.
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