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The Wii will not get a price drop until they can a surplus of consoles that are not selling. With SSBB/MK/WiiFit coming out, this may not be until fall, if at all this year. They will not drop they price if they keep selling out at $250. Why would they?

Better software/Blu-ray victory/price drops will help PS3 sales vs the Xbox 360, but I highly doubt it will affect Wii momentum at all.