Will the launch of PSV affect PS3 sales in Japan?

[Michael-5]

MARCUSDJACKSON said:

Michael-5 said:

lol, I just never heard someone use the term mute for people. Anyway, only time will tell what PS4 will be, and how well it will perform. We still dunno how well PS3 will still perform this gen, it's already exceeding my expectations.

well my early predictions put PS3 at 125m by 2016, but that was way off.

now its 110 to 118m, with wii at 115m. adjustments will be made by yr. i expect to make major adjustments based on next yr and if PS3 stays on its curren track.

You expect PS3 to outsell Wii? 360 too I assume. WOW, I can't say I share your belief.

Most early predictions went bad. People thought PS3 would just crash before 10M, and that didn't happn. People thought PS3 would overtake the 360 in 2006, 2007, especially 2008, 2009, especially 2010, and again in this year, but that didn't happen. People also thought Wii could outsell PS2 (I think it will come close), and this is looking unlikely too.

Out of curiousity, what is your 360 lifetime prediction? Do you have one for DS and PSP?

Mine are:

95M for PS3 and 360. PS3 sales follow a trend pattern almost identical to PSP's (allign their launches and take a look, just remember PSP released in March and PS3 in November), and I think they will have the same lifetime sales. I think 360 will hold leading sales until 2013, and then both consoles will come out about on par. However I stink PS3 will do a bit better then PSP because it's main market is EMEAA and not Japan.

85M for the PSP. It's at 70M now, and the PSV is coming this fall in Japan. This will kill PSP sales. It did 10 million last year, I expect 7-8 million this year, and 4 next year.

170M for the DS. It did 20 million last year, but I only expect it to just break 10 million this year. GBA did 17 million more after the DS released. I think the DS has anohter 22 Million left in it.

135M for Wii. It's held better then PS2 sales annually all it's life. This is the first year it might not top PS2's numbers with an alligned launch. next year it only needs 13 M to keep up with PS2, and I don't think that will happen. I think Wii will hold 80% of PS2 sales the next couple years, and it will drop pretty sharply with the launch of Wii U. Wii just doesn't have as much software as PS2.