| postofficebuddy said: Do we really need to keep going over this? Do the math. PS3 has a million unit lead for the year. By October that will probably be around 1.4-1.5 million.
VGChartz Hardware data for the period 03rd Oct 2010 to 01st Jan 2011:
VGChartz Hardware data for the period 03rd Oct 2010 to 01st Jan 2011:
360 only outsold PS3 by 500k during quarter 4 last year with momentum from Reach and the Kinect launch. So to take the crown for the year not only would PS3 have to be flat or down YOY but 360 would have to be exponentially up. So unless we see huge adjustments in 360's favor it's effectively impossible for 360 to catch back up, even with a price cut. Also keep in mind, last year PS3's Q4 Japan performance was utterly shite. It barely even beat its 2008 Japan performance when it was somewhat consistently getting outsold by the 360. With both the Ninokuni bundle and FFXIII-2 releasing it will almost certainly be hugely up there for the rest of the year. |
Well to start, MS have to cut price to be first, so everything I say is on that assumption.
I'm fed up of going over this though, it's absurd to think you think you have a better grasp on the situation than Microsoft themselves. If they had said this in passing in an interview it could be just PR babble, but no, they've said it, over and over and over and over again, in their E3 conferemce, in numerous interviews, in every NPD statement since June. They would never bang on about it that much without actually have a fuck loads more knowledge than we'll ever have.
I don't know what they have planned, but a price cut, advertising and holiday is more than enough to put them ahead for the holiday and the year. Kinect is going to be big again whether you like to admit it or not. Forget it's 'decline', this is a holiday product, and when the SW comes, and the bundle drops price, and the advertising goes crazy, the casuals will flock.
Time will tell.
