How long until PS3 overtakes the 360 in total sales?

[Nidan]

CrazzyMan said:
@Nidan:
just a few questions.

1) You think, that all people who care about MGS4, KZ2, R2, LBP, GT5, T6, FFXIII, WKS, GoW3 already bought ps3, Right?
2) people who care about MGS4, KZ2, R2, LBP, GT5, T6, FFXIII, WKS, GoW3 are SAME people, Right?
3) by how much there will be increase (if there will be), when all these MGS4, KZ2, R2, LBP, GT5, T6, FFXIII, WKS, GoW3 games will be released?

and yes, PS3 need to outsell x360 by 140k every week to match x360 numbers, for now it`s:
70k behind on previous week, and 125k behind this week.
BUT numbers are very close to ps2 numbers of 2001 and ps2 sold 16 mln. in 2001 with MGS2, FFX, GTA3, DMC, GT3. =)

@ Cazzzzzyyyman.

1. no not at all, just like Halo 3 the ps3 will see a boost in sales when and if those title launch, the size depending on other market factors like competing titles etc. THe equation is not 1+1+1+1 =4 it would be far more complex as some people like more than one game on the list.

2. Can you clarify the question a little?

3. Complex question. I would say as much as halo3 but no more to as little as 50K increase. but it is quite complex.

My only comment is about the ps2 numbers, there are alot of things which are different now, which would be and not limited to

1. MS has been accepted as a long term player
2. MS lauched a year earlier
3. MS has a larger install base
4. HD content cost much more $$ to make
5. MS has a lower cost to manufacture
6. Developers are lazy and tend to take the easy option
7. Nintendo has shaken the apple cart
8. Far less exclusives
9. Sony needs to return a profit
10. MS is a formidable opponent and sony knows it
11. MS is really good with software
12. MS has a very strong lineup (otherwise they would be idiots)
13. ....

I dont disagree that sony could overtake MS, But logic at this time is saying it would be hard + for all of our sakes, I want it to be a tie, so that the big guys fight it out and we win with better pricing and a choice of which platform and which games.