Like many have said COD will probably release on all viable platforms available. Therefore I think your theory relies on two factors that may or may not come to be. Firstly, the next xbox console needs to have a feature or something that actually makes people want to buy it aside from graphics. Secondly the next COD game then needs to take advantage of that unique feature and promote it as the definitive COD experience.
In that case then yes i agree with you.
If there's nothing substantial separating the next Xbox from the current Xbox, or again nothing substantial separating the ps3 COD experience from that of the next Xbox then i don't agree with you.
So to conclude, it all depends on the next generation consoles (new features, gimmicks, etc.) and how the developers of COD take advantage of said features (and also to a certain degree how they market it).
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