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Sales - EMEAA UP-6th August - View Post

CGI-Quality said:
Nintendogamer said:
CGI-Quality said:
nightsurge said:
CGI-Quality said:
At the rate things are going, the PS3 may end off this gen #1 in EMEAA. Unless Nintendo pulls out another substantial price cut, the Wii is going to quiet down there, while Sony's next cut should see the PS3 explode.

Agreed! And while slightly off topic, I think the 360 stands a chance of #1 in Americas for the same reason. The Wii is just going to keep on sinking these next 2 years, especially after Wii U comes out, and the 360 and PS3 are still going to have 2 more good years of sales at least!

Yep, although the 360 will have a slightly harder time there than the PS3 in EMEAA (mainly due to how many territories Sony sells consoles in some countries where nobody else does).

By gen's end, I think it will look like so:

Wii: 1st in JP (since the PS3 would need something HUGE to move into 1st place there), 2nd in the Americas, 2nd in EMEAA (1st place WW)

PS3: 1st in EMEAA, 2nd in JP, 3rd in the Americas (2nd or 3rd place WW)

Xbox 360: 1st in the Americas, 3rd in EMEAA, 3rd in JP (2nd or 3rd place WW)

Puts things in perspective.

What's your take on figures by gens end? mine is, PS3:130M, 360:110M, Wii: 98.5M.

I can't see the PS3 ending in 1st place. No way, no how.

Wii: 110-115 mill (give or take)

PS3: 80-90 mill

Xbox 360: 80-85 mill

Similar to the PS2, the PS3 may be the console that sells the longest down the road, especially since I think Sony may launch the PlayStation 4 last next gen. Whether or not it passes the 360, however, will greatly depend on the next 8-12 months. If it can't grab 2nd place by then, my figures will need some adjusting.

Your Wii and 360 numbers look pretty accurate but your almost certainly low-balling PS3. Sony are projecting sales of 65 million by the end of the fiscal year and with continued momentum from this years price cut, and possibly another one next year, 2012 shouldn't be too far down on 2011. So it would already be close to the low end of your projection by the end of next FY. And I'm sure Sony will stick to their 10 year plan and keep the PS3 around until at least 2016. So it would only need to average about 7 million a year in its final 3 years to reach 100 million. A feat that shouldn't be too hard with at least 2 more price cuts in the cards after this years cut.



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