| tokilamockingbrd said: My who point was that there would be a drought. I was completely guessing about the exact number. I however, was not guessing about the supply chain manuevers they pulled. I was proven right. The scarcity hit should be 1-2 weeks longer. The rainchecks will make the next few weeks better than this week. Just admit it... you were wrong no biggie.. no ban bet... If the sales would have not fallen so harsh I would have conceded(if you brought it up ; p) |
If I was actually proven wrong about something I would have no issue admitting it.
What we have here is a situation where two scenarios predicted a lull in supply and two predictions of what that lull would be. Your prediction was further off. Those are the facts.
What we can conclude from those facts is only that my prediction was in fact closer. We cannot conclude that my scenario was correct because it is possible that your scenario was correct but that you underestimated its effect and predicted too high.
I seriously have a hard time seeing how you in any way can draw the conclusion that a lull after the holidays proves your prediction when the standard model for all consoles...supply constrained or not produces the same effect.
It would be like me checking the paper to see what time the sun comes up and getting up early and telling my neighbors that by dancing in my yard I can make the sunrise...and as I dance the sun rises in the sky...proof that my dance works or proof that the past sunrises can be used to predict future sunrises?
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| To Each Man, Responsibility |
