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postofficebuddy said:
The most pessimistic scenario I can see is basically the same as Seece's, only difference being that it's discontinued by early to mid 2014. The most positive scenario I can see is about 120 million assuming the decline isn't quite so steep with a price cut to $100 at some point in the next year or two.

Wii price cuts from this point on are incredibly ineffective for 3 reasons.

1. It's already very cheap, the price really isn't going to hold many people back now.
2. Each christmas it gets marked down by like $50 anyway, so the following summer when it gets an official cut people are like, 'huh, this was $99 at xmas anyway?'
3. Zero to little SW to back it up, this is only going to get worse 2012 onwards.