Weekend Estimates: Deathly Hallows Sets All-Time Record In US ($168.55) & Worldwide ($475.55)

[sapphi_snake]

mrstickball said:

Unlikely.

I will concede that there is the possibility that Potter doesn't hit 400m US (actuals are out and it adjusted UP to $169.2m FYI), but remember, this *is* a summer Potter in TDK's timeslot, which is a very good time to release (last one grossed $300m which was higher than Deathly Hallows Pt. 1). Furthermore, there is no reason - no reason at ALL - to assume OS would droop as low as $850m. Remember: POTC: OST grossed a whopping $791m in its slot thus far, and only $237m in the US. Again, there is NO reason that DH2 can't destroy that number by at leat $100m. Furthermore, its breaking all known records on its release. Its not like we're needing to speculate: Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 is already at ~$480 million USD. By your numbers, its only going to have a 2.5x multiplier which is unheard of from a movie that is heavily OS-based like Potter is (where ~70% of its revenue is typically overseas). Look at the data: 60% or greater of HPDH2's revenues are from 3D venues, which have always had great legs overseas.

I don't really view TDKR as being a finalie. Its a cash cow, and unless Nolan kills of Batman, there will likely be many sequels ahead. Again, my argument comes from a simple standpoint of history: Only 3 movies, ever, have hit $500m in the US. Ever. I don't believe another sequel will make that list. TDKR will get close, but I don't think it will.

This is quite true. Even if it will be another reimagining, it will still be a Batman movie. But you can be sure that even if Nolan stops directing, they'll probably get another director and make The Dark Knight Does Brodway or something (kidding of course). Honestly, I don't even particularly feel like there's anything for it to be a finale of at this point.