First 6 months of 2010: 6.8m
Last 6 months of 2010: 11.3m
2010 Total: 18.1m
First 6 months of 2011: 4.5m (66% of 2010)
Est last 6 months of 2011: 8.5m (75% of 2010, assuming price reduction allows Wii to remain a little higher than the first half year's YoY reduction)
2011 Total: 13m
LTD at end of 2011: 96.2m.
Give or take a couple million and there still no chance it will break 100m in 2011.
I'd bet in first 6mos of 2012 it will break 100m.