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Kids games like these are no problem for the 3DS as long as enough "mature" games come along too. And it seems that the 3DS gets more than enough games of all kinds.

Vita is not a problem for the 3DS. To be honest, Vita will not even have the impact of the PSP in the west. The casual crowd has its iPhones, so the 3DS will never ever have the sales of the DS, but with Layton & Co. many of the casual gamers will get an 3DS.