For Sony to make their PS3 fiscal forecast...

[CrazzyMan]

@Renar,

Question, Crazzy.

What causes PS3 to sell in March 133% more than it did 2 months prior in January? Are you predicting a large price cut as well? That might do it.

First of all new BUNDLES.

I think a clearer chart of the PS2 during that time period is:

You se.. we comapre 2nd year PS2 and PS3 sales for the begining of the year. THEY are practically SAME. Then what is a problem? I don`t see the problem.
2nd year. January.

So strangely enough, if they can get a 50% increase in the next 3 months they will hit your 2.5M revised. A good size jump, but perhaps doable. And then like you say, stuff those retail supply lines with another 2.5M. Ouch!!

My predictions are usually OPTIMISTIC. =) As you can see, for the end of 2007 it WORKEDF for EUROPE. In worst case, predictions will be realistic. Then it`s only 2 mln., but making 3 mln. for retailer is still possible for such BIG company as Sony. =)

@CrazzyMan: The point is that stores *already* have PS3s that have been shipped - but not yet sold.

So of the 3m you have counted as sales, 1m (maybe more) has already been shipped.

It`s a possibility
BUT, i do know, that in december + week of November sonu shipped 1.2 mln. And sold around 1 mln.

The ONLY time you get the benefit of channel stuffing is at/after launch (assuming demand < supply). Stores sell 'x' units, and also order 'y' extra units to remain on the shelves. After that, they order approximately (on average) the same number of units they sell. Otherwise piles of PS3s in stores would just keep growing indefinitely.

Time will show, they still have atleast 10 weeks, and IT`S A SONY. =)