Sony initially predicted 10M PS2, 9M PSP and 11M PS3 consoles but in July they adjusted their predictions on PSP and PS2, both revised up. The PS2 is now expected to sell 12M and the PSP 10M. That is 2M more for PS2 and 1M more for PSP. They did not revised their initial PS3 number, it's still at 11M. I can't see how they're going to reach 11M PS3 and find it very strange they did not revised it down in July. Sony is the only entity with the official data but I think that, just like most of us, they probably know they can't meet the 11M unit sales. Let's do some analysis: They shipped 0.71M in Q1 and 1.3M in Q2. total of 2.01M in the first 6 months of their FY
If we assume they will ship 2.5M in Q4 (they shipped 1.3M in Q2 against Halo 3 and with a higher price, so it's not impossible) we will have 4.5M without Q3 (Holiday season)
To reach 11M on January 31st they need to report at least 6.5M shipped units on their Q3 earnings report.
VGChartz Hardware data for the period 07th Oct 2007 to 30th Dec 2007:
Console PS3
So, either VGC is off by at about 3M (kind of hard to believe) or it will not happen.
What I think will happen is that they will report about 4.5M shipped units for Q3 and at the same time (or soon after) they will revise the PS3 forecast down to 9M.
EDIT: Link for forecast http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/IR/financial/fr/viewer/07q2/slide/18_slide.html
