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In home consoles i predict Nintendo, just because the casual crowd, Nintendo has the best casual games (yes Wii had a bunch of casual trash but the majority of that games weren't from Nintendo), and with HD graphics will bring the old fans back (at least the ones that ran off). The hardcore crowd will still go to Microsoft or Sony but they have to split that market between them like is happening with the actual console wars so they will sell less.

In the portables is more dificult because Sony looks like is going to try win the war even if it means to lose money. So this time around it's gonna be close. But once again Nintendo has the better games so probably will win...