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S____M____C____C said:
manuel said:
HappySqurriel said:
manuel said:
HappySqurriel said:
Here is an interesting thing that many of Nintendo's most vocal critics don't seem to be able to understand, people (even those who were arbitrarily labeled as "casual gamers") can own and enjoy multiple devices that play videogames on them ... My sister would be classified as a "casual gamer" based on her typical game choices, and she plays games like Words with Friends and Farmville on her iPhone but also owns a 3DS and bought Zelda for it.


That's not possible.

Casual gamers only buy 1 device and not more. And that device will be an iPhone or another smartphone 100% of the time.

I know you're being sarcastic, but that is how some people seem to think ...

If you look at these casual games that they're playing on the smartphone or Facebook they're not that different from how people treat videos they watch on Youtube. While there are some interactions between these activities, people who watch videos on Youtube still watch television, rent/stream/buy movies at home, and go out to see movies; certainly, the introduction of these devices and inexpensive games will have some impact, but far less than the doomsayers are predicting.

Exactly.

I know a lot of people with iPhones... and many of them also have dedicated game machines (DS, PSP, 3DS, ...).

It's the same with movies (as you say). There are so many ways of watching movies (even for 0$ when you download/stream illegaly), but still the movie theaters are full to the brim.

I'm sure Nintendo/Sony/MS/whoever will make a lot of new consoles/handhelds in the future.

I understand this, but when iphone/ipad/smartphone games inevitably become better and more numerous, will people still see a reason to buy Nintendo products?

I'm not sure smartphone and tablet games will become better and more numerous ...

I've said it before and I'll say it again, there are many similarities between current mobile application and game development for smartphones and tablets as there was webpage development during the dot com bubble. There are very few companies in this market that are making a significant amount of money, or who have a viable business model, but there are tons of speculative investors who are giving money to these companies to keep them afloat in the hopes of eventually making it big. I suspect it will get worse before it gets better, but eventually we will see a crisis of confidence, investment will flow out of the market, companies will fail in high numbers, and those that remain standing will do very well for themselves.

My personal expectation of the results of this is that the game companies that survive will be those that produce insanely low budget games and sell them for a small amount; and larger games that require a higher selling price will die out on the smartphones and tablets.