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It'll last 10 years, PS1 lasted 10 years, PS2 has lasted 11 years and counting, PSP has lasted 7 years and counting, PS3 has lasted 5 years and counting. My guess is that PS4 will launch in 2013 which would require PS3 to survive for 3 years to hit the 10 year mark. A feat rather easy when looking at the history of PlayStation platforms.