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Fall 2013 for both Sony and MS, with just reasoning.

-If Wii U launches in 2012, it will kill off a sizable portion of 360 and PS3 sales.
-a 2 year delayed release is a bit excessive for PS3 and 360. To be fair Nintendo tries to make their console not a competitor to the PS3/360, but it's own thing, but 2 years is too long.
-Call of Duty map pack exclusivity is limited to the 2012 Call of Duty. If the 2013 CoD is released on the 360, it will also be released for the successor.
-Most games, mark trilogies, 4th installments on 1 console probably won't sell well. Gears 1-3, Forza 2-4, Resistance 1-3, Uncharted 1-3, Mass Effect 1-3, and by 2013 there will be a Killzone 4.
-Since NES every generation has seen 3 Final Fantasy's. We are at 2 now.

However MS did announce a new Halo trilogy. My argument is that, who said this will be 360 exclusive? 343 promised a new Halo every year, but I'm not sure if there will be a Halo on 360 past Halo 4.



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