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I dont see it's crazy.
I know ds sold more 140 millions and PSP 70 miilions you will sell ds beat hardly the psp but psp is the best salling non nintendo handheld.
The First point psp was much more expensive then ds,ds lunch for 150 $ and psp $ this time 3ds and ngp cost the same PSvita have the advantage of prince in fact that PSVita have a higher technologie.
The second point is the lack of game and killer series first year the psp sell very well beauce of the solid lunch line-up but when developper abondon the psp the sale goes down in america and europe and gamers lost interest of psp and ds rise the gap but this time developpers has a stronger support then psp and sony annonce a call of dutty game and monster hunter to make PSVita succesful in america and japan.
The last point sony has been criticized for the lack of innovation and port of ps2 game this time sony innovate with the back touch and annonce many new ip like sound shape,little deviants,gravity daze,smart as,reality fighter and many succesful playstations games.
So 3ds will sold badly compared to ds and PSVita will sold much more then ip because of developper support and price and his rearpad and oled screen then it's possible that PSVita outsold 3ds or have a smaller gap between 3ds and PSVita sale.



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m