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Okay, so Andreas and Vice City both sold over 14 M or so on PS2, correct?

Now, of course the PS2 install base at that point was probably way bigger than 360 and PS3 combined right now.

So... assuming those who bought those iterations of the game want this one... then yes, its going to shift a lot of consoles. The big unknown is the impact of the split. Numbers say some of those who played this on PS2 haven't bought a 360 or PS3 yet - so which way will they go?

Both consoles should get a lift but it is possible, due to linking of IP to Sony for many, that PS3 could get best lift... on the other hand I doubt gamers are loyal (well, apart from fanboys and girls) so the extra content on MS could be a lure... or on the other hand it could be seen as crude tactics from MS and have a negative impact (it happens in other industries).

Either way with two consoles as a base (plus PC I presume) and with historic sales - GTAIV should easily eclipse Halo 3.