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It's pretty obvious to me that Mattrick is probably right. The Wii will be running on fumes by the end of the year and games like Star Wars Kinect, Dance Central 2, Sesame Street: Once Upon a Monster and Kinect Disneyland Adventures are going to appeal to a significant amount of  the audience that it would have typically dominated.

As for those mentioning Playstation exclusives, most of those games are sequels and extremely unlikely to bring in the millions of additional gamers that Kinect will. You're going to see significant sales gaps between the 360 and PS3 in North America by the end of the year and enough growth in Europe to ensure the 360 comes out on top.