| ___O_o______ said: @fishyJoe The Wii will run out of casuals IMO. The ps2 picked up tens of millions of casuals and turned them into gamers. These former casuals are eyeing the ps3 or 360 in this generation, while a smaller percent are eyeing the Wii. I am guessing that the Wii's customers are any casuals left who didn't pick up a ps2. That, to me, means a smaller casual market than the ps2. |
Given the percentage of people who currently play games on a console (small fraction of population) vs percentage who don't currently (large percentage of the population) Wii cannot run out of casual or new gamers. It can fail to win them over - but it's not going to run out of them.
Fact is right now Wii clearly has far and away the biggest potential market. 360 is strictly for gamers - the number of casual gamers buying it are so small as to be zero.
PS3 is also failing to pick up casual gamers right now (despite doing so with PS2) and I think the console has become too linked to hardcore gaming and being the other choice besides 360. If I was Sony I'd be putting serious marketing into getting PS3 seen as casual with media centre capability (ironically somewhat back where they started of course with PS3 positioning).
I think COD4 and AC sales show PS3 is gaining plenty of ground with hardcore gamers - its the broader market Sony has so far failed to get interested in PS3. IMO pushing hardcore games with squeezed in motion controls that are rubbish is strange way to go about it - the console needs a lot of fun games and fun use of the Sixaxis.
