Nintendo Is More Brilliant Then I Thought

[glimmer_of_hope]

brazylianwisnia said:

so basicly my opinion is that either Cafe:

1.Will be high end to match next gens and if it will have rumored controllers thane 499$ is certian

2.Will be retarded technologicaly in terms of technology in 2012 and at price point 349$.

Either way it's hard to predict what will casuals say and how will it stand in terms of sale to much cheaper PS3/X360 and how will it stand the test of time.3rd parties will support it early and the sales of first multiplatforms on Cafe will show the 3rd parties how much money should they invest in Cafe.

Nintendo fans will buy the console for sure but's that only about 15mln people.HD twins fans won't buy it because it won't offer AAA 18 exclusives(you know what i mean GOW etc) because Nintendo won't destroy it's family friendly look.It will be very hard to interest casuals once again because motion gameing moves no one today cause every company will offer it.

The most difficult for Nintendo is that they start long before competition(wii was showed simultanosly) and if they will have briliant idea other companies will copy it from start adapting it to their concept.

This gen will probably sale very close each other.I predict 130mln Wiis 115mln PS3 100mln X360 when last console production line will be shut for good(around 2017-2018 i supose ).So this gen will bring money to all 3 and for long time as ps2 gave profits sony even today and for us it's perfect situation in terms of fighting for consumers.I supose that next gens should also sell close to each one up to 40mln spread max.

What are you talking about 15 million Nintendo fans? Are you not aware that Wii has sold like 86 million? Or are you trying to say that non Nintendo fans bought the inferior Wii, but they will not by the superior Cafe? I also like how people say "oh 360 and ps3 will bite into sales" that is something that happens every gen for every company, for consoles and handhelds. I don't think Nintendo worries about companies copying them.....they have been doing it for years. And your math is off, it will take on average 9.2 years (that would be the year 2020)  for the PS3 to reach that number. Thats not taking into concideration the new consoles slowing down it's sales.