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Legend11 said:

Is the 360 really down this year?  I figured numbers like the 60% increase in the U.S. and news from other countries of increased Xbox 360 sales would mean the system is up.  The only country I can think of where 360 sales are down is Japan...  Why would they ship a record number of consoles if they're in decline?

Pretty sure he's working under the assumption that the 360 won't be up YoY after the slim/kinect periods come into play.  It's not that farfetched, about 75% of shipments in 2010 came after the slim launch, more if you consider a big chunk of their apr-jun quarter was probably slims even if it didn't go on sale till towards the end of the quarter.

Whether it will be up or down mostly depends on what they do with the price and Kinect.