recap ps3>360 LTD not on time

[postofficebuddy]

Legend11 said:

postofficebuddy said:

I have to agree with Brendude here. What makes you so sure that it won't happen this year? Looking at the YOY trends I'd say it's somewhat likely, especially as far as shipments are concerned. Last year PS3 outshipped 360 by 2.2 million units. Most likely PS3 will have its peak year this year and more than likely 360 will be at least marginally down on last year. If the combined YOY decline of the 360 and gain of the PS3 amounts to just 700k units than PS3 will pass 360 this year, and I'm pretty confident in saying that PS3 alone will be up by more than a million units.

Is the 360 really down this year?  I figured numbers like the 60% increase in the U.S. and news from other countries of increased Xbox 360 sales would mean the system is up.  The only country I can think of where 360 sales are down is Japan...  Why would they ship a record number of consoles if they're in decline?

No but it's not gaining enough of a YOY lead now while it has the chance. As far as sellthrough is concerned it's only up by about 500k units. I can't see a $50 cut being enough to fend off the slim, Reach, and Kinect comparisons from last year. Back at the start of the year I figured it had a chance if it built up about a 1.5 million YOY lead by June, but that's obviously not going to be the case. Unless the price cut has a miraculous impact on sales it will likely have lost half of its current YOY gains by the week of the european slim launch. And November and December are increbidly steep comparisons, almost extraordinarily so.