We've Seen 2005-2007 Sales Now. What do you expect for LTD Sales?

[Avinash_Tyagi]

Sky Render said:
@Avinash_Tyagi

It's entirely possible that the Wii will maintain and indeed gain momentum. The introduction of a successful new marketing strategy always throws things into the realm of unpredictability (see my comment on the PS1 vs SNES sales). But as I also noted, the first year or two can't really be seen as indicative of the future; the largest sales peaks of almost every single console have occurred in their first two years of their lifespan. The exceptions (PS1, PS2, DS) have all broken free of this paradigm by using a new sales model. But then, a new sales model doesn't always work (as seen with the ill-fated DreamCast, which tried desperately to capture the burgeoning online gaming community and establish itself as an online gaming stronghold).

2007 was unpredictable, and 2008 will likely be too. How much things change will depend on a great many factors, most important for Nintendo being if their "Blue Ocean" strategy really can apply to a home console as well as it did to the handheld market. The evidence suggests it can, but just the same, don't go betting too much on the future; the best-laid plans can fail, even when they've got everything going for them. I'm not saying it's likely, but I'm also not saying it's impossible.

 See the difference with the Wii is we never saw the peak of year one, I think all we are doing is transferring the peaks into the future due to pent up unfulfilled demand, heck the Wii hasn't even hit a mass market price range of $100-200 where the majority of sales occur and it has yet to launch in all of the territories that its competitors have launched, what we have seen this year is merely a tip of the iceberg