"someone doesn't know how to analyze the market . when wii hits 70mil by early 2010, will you continue to predict the 'fad' will end any day?"
It has only been just over a year for this "fad". Fads don't disappear in just a year, and it's too early to be proclaiming, "do you really think its a fad after it has sold so many units?" i, on the otherhand, am just predicting. it's your choice whether you agree with me or not.
just look at furby, or livestrong bracelets. They became adopted very quickly within the market, with a lot of media attention, but they didn't disappear in just a year. They disappeared starting around the 3 year mark. The rate of that disappearance was very rapid, and i think the Wii may end up being like this.
the Wii and the ps2 had very different first years in terms of sales, so i'm refraining from comparing the Wii to ps2 sales in the future.
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